http://www.jrothman.com/blog/mpd/2006/09/probabilistic-scheduling.html Management, especially good management, is hard to do. This blog is for people who want to think about how they manage people, projects, and risk. Fri, 18 May 2012 15:02:36 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2 http://www.jrothman.com/blog/mpd/2006/09/probabilistic-scheduling.html/comment-page-1#comment-446 Charles Von Thun Tue, 24 Oct 2006 04:28:45 +0000 http://jrothman.com/blog/mpd/?p=8033#comment-446 Having tried to sell Monte Carlo for MS Project, I can state without reservation that the top problem faced by most project managers is not uncertainty but a fairly complete lack of knowledge of scheduling. Most organizations don't link tasks in schedules, making any critical path calc meaningless or even dangerous. This is why there are so many PM training companies and so few PM analytics companies. If you are thinking about this take a look at www.pertmaster.com, www.crystalball.com or www.riskplus.com. But I am willing to bet it will be at least another decade before probabilistic scheduling is used by 1% of schedulers. Having tried to sell Monte Carlo for MS Project, I can state without reservation that the top problem faced by most project managers is not uncertainty but a fairly complete lack of knowledge of scheduling. Most organizations don’t link tasks in schedules, making any critical path calc meaningless or even dangerous. This is why there are so many PM training companies and so few PM analytics companies.
If you are thinking about this take a look at http://www.pertmaster.com, http://www.crystalball.com or http://www.riskplus.com.
But I am willing to bet it will be at least another decade before probabilistic scheduling is used by 1% of schedulers.

]]> http://www.jrothman.com/blog/mpd/2006/09/probabilistic-scheduling.html/comment-page-1#comment-447 Ken Flowers Tue, 26 Sep 2006 05:38:28 +0000 http://jrothman.com/blog/mpd/?p=8033#comment-447 Hey, check out my article on <a href=http://kflowers.blogspot.com/2006/06/simple-pair-of-risk-metrics.html>risk metrics</a>. It's not a perfect fit to what you are saying, but you may be able to adopt some of this to your approach. The probability stuff is not mine. Hey, check out my article on risk metrics. It’s not a perfect fit to what you are saying, but you may be able to adopt some of this to your approach. The probability stuff is not mine.

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